Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.313964 3.662330 4.039832 4.480632 4.982884 5.539273 6.204946
2025-08-24 2.770758 3.227897 3.757192 4.420164 5.235117 6.212976 7.488446
2025-08-31 2.445417 2.957200 3.578532 4.397863 5.464122 6.824850 8.725943
2025-09-07 2.274408 2.836527 3.546483 4.524495 5.861714 7.663929 10.343913
2025-09-14 2.085596 2.665675 3.421915 4.501434 6.039080 8.209044 11.614336
2025-09-21 1.924340 2.511622 3.298384 4.456790 6.167452 8.683301 12.830562
2025-09-28 1.739558 2.308124 3.086375 4.260939 6.046807 8.763603 13.429675
2025-10-05 1.651363 2.229954 3.040425 4.296844 6.269237 9.384607 14.988875
2025-10-12 1.586342 2.178344 3.026150 4.374984 6.559788 10.141695 16.893816
2025-10-19 1.527063 2.129742 3.010792 4.447106 6.843852 10.916803 18.954704
2025-10-26 1.470861 2.081047 2.990319 4.506944 7.110110 11.688992 21.139218
2025-11-02 1.413072 2.025610 2.954505 4.536886 7.325194 12.391664 23.306549
2025-11-09 1.321023 1.913590 2.824924 4.404107 7.247065 12.553115 24.402080
2025-11-16 1.252084 1.833568 2.741066 4.342025 7.290285 12.952704 26.099221
2025-11-23 1.197296 1.772491 2.683462 4.319855 7.403696 13.503436 28.252053
2025-11-30 1.175138 1.762049 2.707830 4.443643 7.806631 14.700437 32.225542
2025-12-07 1.127590 1.707374 2.654204 4.421087 7.919071 15.294897 34.815690
2025-12-14 1.079944 1.649891 2.592078 4.377431 7.983573 15.791216 37.260946
2025-12-21 1.010681 1.552985 2.456569 4.185885 7.724895 15.521756 37.515434
2025-12-28 0.983421 1.525503 2.440560 4.221003 7.945297 16.394696 41.289214
2026-01-04 0.964290 1.510747 2.445887 4.297428 8.261791 17.544466 46.228458
2026-01-11 0.945241 1.495043 2.448347 4.367960 8.572549 18.729115 51.649871
2026-01-18 0.925420 1.476914 2.445144 4.426474 8.862223 19.906858 57.441319